Follow every source.

The short source keys beside tables resolve here. Research dates describe actual source checks; they do not make older forecasts or surveys current. Publisher access restrictions may affect automated requests.

231 source entries · some entries refer to different records from the same publisher.
Key	Publisher and document	Source vintage	Checked	Limits
BP-REG	Ballotpedia: 2026 registration calendar	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VOTE-REG	Vote.org: Registration rules by state	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-MAIL	Ballotpedia: 2026 mail ballot request calendar	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-EARLY	Ballotpedia: 2026 early voting calendar	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-RETURN	Ballotpedia: 2026 ballot return calendar	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NPR-REG	NPR: Registration guide	2026-07-14	2026-10-20	Fetched October 20; editorial revision is July 14, not October 20.
DDHQ-TOP	Decision Desk HQ: Chamber forecast	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
DDHQ-H	Decision Desk HQ: House forecast	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
DDHQ-S	Decision Desk HQ: Senate ratings	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
DDHQ-G	Decision Desk HQ: Governor ratings	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
DDHQ-METHOD	Decision Desk HQ: Race forecast methodology	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
POL	Poliwave: Correlated midterm forecast	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Separate publisher; shared polling inputs can correlate models. Publisher says this model has not been historically calibrated.
CB-S	UVA Center for Politics: Senate ratings	2026-10-14	2026-10-20	Map inspected visually and cross-checked against the 270toWin structured map capture.
CB-S-TEXT	UVA Center for Politics: Senate path to control	2026-10-14	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
CB-G	UVA Center for Politics: Governor ratings	2026-10-06	2026-10-20	Map inspected visually through the original publisher’s October 6 article image.
CB-G-TEXT	UVA Center for Politics: Alaska and Oregon changes	2026-10-06	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
CB-H	UVA Center for Politics: House ratings landing page	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Landing page says October 20; the accessible 270toWin mirror still says October 8. Do not call mirror ratings current October 20 ratings.
CB-H-MIRROR	270toWin / UVA: House ratings mirror	2026-10-08	2026-10-20	Historical comparison only. Mirror map timestamp is October 11; underlying ratings label is October 8.
SILVER	Silver Bulletin: FLIPR landing page	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Public text only; paywalled chamber forecast numbers were not retrieved.
SILVER-GENERIC	Silver Bulletin: Generic ballot average	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Chart shows 50.5–41.5; editorial paragraph still carries an October 16 signoff. These are distinct from the likely-voter adjusted FLIPR average.
FORBES	Forbes: Key Senate polls roundup	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Cross-check of reported poll results, not an independent second survey.
ELON	Elon University: North Carolina poll release	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Use date printed in PDF body. PDF metadata retains an old title.
MARIST-OH	Marist: Ohio Senate and governor poll	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
MARIST-IA	Marist: Iowa Senate and governor poll	2026-10-15	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
UH	University of Houston: Texas Votes 2026	2026-10-19	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
SUFFOLK-ME	Suffolk University: Maine survey toplines	2026-10-14	2026-10-20	Fieldwork and error now confirmed in the original publisher’s Other States methodology.
FOX-MI	Fox News / Beacon / Shaw: Michigan Senate poll	2026-09-30	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
KSTP	KSTP / SurveyUSA: Minnesota polling coverage	2026-10-15	2026-10-20	Use the original SurveyUSA PDF, not the embedded chart template, for percentages, fieldwork and sample metadata.
BLS	U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: September CPI release	2026-10-14	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
AP-CPI	Associated Press: September inflation report	2026-10-14	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
FEC	Federal Election Commission: 2026 quarterly reporting calendar	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
DOWNBALLOT	The Downballot: Q3 fundraising report guide	2026-10-16	2026-10-20	No candidate dollar totals imported without primary filing-level reconciliation.
UF	UF Election Lab: 2026 early vote tracker	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	National total is single-source in this collection. The page specifies attribution and noncommercial reuse terms. Link to tracker; do not import its dataset as a commercial feed without permission.
BP-SENATE	Ballotpedia: Senate election scope	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
USA	USAGov: Congressional and midterm elections	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
HOME	Midterm Watch: Homepage snapshot	2026-10-10	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
SITE-DATA	Midterm Watch: Data page snapshot	2026-10-10	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
SITE-METHOD	Midterm Watch: Current publication standard	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VOTEGOV-IL	Vote.gov: Illinois registration	2025-09-12	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VOTEGOV-HI	Vote.gov: Hawaii registration	2024-11-18	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-AL	Alabama election authority: Alabama official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-AK	Alaska election authority: Alaska official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-AZ	Arizona election authority: Arizona official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-AR	Arkansas election authority: Arkansas official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-CA	California election authority: California official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-CO	Colorado election authority: Colorado official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-CT	Connecticut election authority: Connecticut official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-DE	Delaware election authority: Delaware official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-DC	District of Columbia election authority: District of Columbia official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-FL	Florida election authority: Florida official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-GA	Georgia election authority: Georgia official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-HI	Hawaii election authority: Hawaii official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-ID	Idaho election authority: Idaho official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-IL	Illinois election authority: Illinois official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-IN	Indiana election authority: Indiana official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-IA	Iowa election authority: Iowa official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-KS	Kansas election authority: Kansas official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-KY	Kentucky election authority: Kentucky official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-LA	Louisiana election authority: Louisiana official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-ME	Maine election authority: Maine official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-MD	Maryland election authority: Maryland official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-MA	Massachusetts election authority: Massachusetts official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-MI	Michigan election authority: Michigan official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-MN	Minnesota election authority: Minnesota official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-MS	Mississippi election authority: Mississippi official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-MO	Missouri election authority: Missouri official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-MT	Montana election authority: Montana official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Stable official hub for the 2026 calendar and voter/candidate dates; replaces a temporary download-token URL.
OFF-NE	Nebraska election authority: Nebraska official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-NV	Nevada election authority: Nevada official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VOTEGOV-NV	Vote.gov: Nevada registration	2024-11-18	2026-10-20	Online cutoff conflicts with 2026 secondary sources.
OFF-NH	New Hampshire election authority: New Hampshire official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-NJ	New Jersey election authority: New Jersey official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-NM	New Mexico election authority: New Mexico official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-NY	New York election authority: New York official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-NC	North Carolina election authority: North Carolina official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-ND	North Dakota election authority: North Dakota official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VOTEGOV-ND	Vote.gov: North Dakota registration	2024-07-30	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-OH	Ohio election authority: Ohio official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-OK	Oklahoma election authority: Oklahoma official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-OR	Oregon election authority: Oregon official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-PA	Pennsylvania election authority: Pennsylvania official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-RI	Rhode Island election authority: Rhode Island official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-SC	South Carolina election authority: South Carolina official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-SD	South Dakota election authority: South Dakota official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-TN	Tennessee election authority: Tennessee official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-TX	Texas election authority: Texas official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-UT	Utah election authority: Utah official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-VT	Vermont election authority: Vermont official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-VA	Virginia election authority: Virginia official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-WA	Washington election authority: Washington official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-WV	West Virginia election authority: West Virginia official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-WI	Wisconsin election authority: Wisconsin official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OFF-WY	Wyoming election authority: Wyoming official election information	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
COOK-H	Cook Political Report: All 435 CPR House ratings	2026-10-16	2026-10-20	Original publisher inspected; 270toWin mirror checked against it. Ratings are attributed assessments, not facts about future results.
HOUSE-270	270toWin: District metadata and featured candidates	2026-10-19	2026-10-20	Names were compared with Ballotpedia. Stale candidates and placeholder party counts are not treated as ballot names.
BP-H-SCOPE	Ballotpedia: 2026 House election and redistricting context	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VOTE-MAIL	Vote.org: Mail application and return rules	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VOTE-EARLY	Vote.org: Early/absentee in-person voting rules	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-HOURS	Ballotpedia: 2026 poll opening and closing rules	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Local and small-precinct exceptions are retained; default hours are not a guarantee for an individual location.
VOTECLOCK	VoteClock: 2026 polling-hour cross-check	2026-10-15	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GP-HOURS	The Green Papers: 2026 general-election closing times	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Media-oriented national schedule; use local election authorities for an individual polling place.
CT-GUIDE	Connecticut Secretary of the State: 2026 voter guide and no-excuse absentee voting	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
CT-TOWN	City of Norwalk: 2026 registration and voting deadlines	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OK-REG-RULE	Oklahoma State Election Board: Registration submission rule	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NV-SDR	Clark County Election Department: Online and in-person same-day registration	2023-09-10	2026-10-20	Rule cross-checked with the 2026 county calendar; publication age is disclosed.
NV-2026	Clark County Election Department: 2026 registration phases and calendar	2025-11-26	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
AK-VOTE	Alaska Division of Elections: Absentee application and return instructions	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
KS-VOTE	Kansas Secretary of State: Advance voting and current injunction	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Current notice says the postmark grace period remains in effect for the general election; older static calendar differs.
KS-STATUTE	Kansas Legislature: Advance application filing requirements	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
DC-CURRENT	DC Board of Elections: 2026 general-election dates and hours	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
TN-VOTE	Tennessee Secretary of State: Absentee eligibility, request and mail-only return	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NY-GUIDE	New York State Board of Elections: 2026 voting deadline card	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
RI-PORTAL	Rhode Island Department of State: 2026 mail application deadline	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
RI-RULE	Rhode Island Department of State: Mail application and emergency route	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
MN-PDF	SurveyUSA / KSTP: SurveyUSA poll 28052 original tables	2026-10-13	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NC-TOPLINES	Elon University: Elon poll toplines and methodology	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
ME-METHOD	Suffolk University: October 14 Maine survey methodology	2026-10-14	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OH-TABLES	Marist: Ohio survey methodology and tables	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
IA-TABLES	Marist: Iowa survey methodology and tables	2026-10-15	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
LA-FORMAT	Louisiana Secretary of State: 2026 House open primary and Senate closed-primary rules	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
LA-DATES	Louisiana Secretary of State: November and conditional December election dates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GA-CALENDAR	Georgia Secretary of State: 2026 general and runoff calendar	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GA-COUNTY	Camden County, Georgia: Conditional December 1 general runoff	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
MS-CALENDAR	Mississippi Secretary of State: 2026 election and runoff calendar	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
MS-GUIDE	Mississippi Secretary of State: 2026 voter information guide	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-AK	Ballotpedia: Alaska 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-AL	Ballotpedia: Alabama 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-AR	Ballotpedia: Arkansas 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-AZ	Ballotpedia: Arizona 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-CA	Ballotpedia: California 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-CO	Ballotpedia: Colorado 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-CT	Ballotpedia: Connecticut 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-DE	Ballotpedia: Delaware 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-FL	Ballotpedia: Florida 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-GA	Ballotpedia: Georgia 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-HI	Ballotpedia: Hawaii 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-IA	Ballotpedia: Iowa 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-ID	Ballotpedia: Idaho 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-IL	Ballotpedia: Illinois 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-IN	Ballotpedia: Indiana 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-KS	Ballotpedia: Kansas 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-KY	Ballotpedia: Kentucky 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-LA	Ballotpedia: Louisiana 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MA	Ballotpedia: Massachusetts 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MD	Ballotpedia: Maryland 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-ME	Ballotpedia: Maine 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MI	Ballotpedia: Michigan 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MN	Ballotpedia: Minnesota 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-1	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-2	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-3	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-4	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-5	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-6	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-7	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MO-8	Ballotpedia: Missouri 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MS	Ballotpedia: Mississippi 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-MT	Ballotpedia: Montana 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-NC	Ballotpedia: North Carolina 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-ND	Ballotpedia: North Dakota 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-NE	Ballotpedia: Nebraska 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-NH	Ballotpedia: New Hampshire 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-NJ	Ballotpedia: New Jersey 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-NM	Ballotpedia: New Mexico 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-NV	Ballotpedia: Nevada 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-NY	Ballotpedia: New York 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-OH	Ballotpedia: Ohio 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-OK	Ballotpedia: Oklahoma 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-OR	Ballotpedia: Oregon 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-PA	Ballotpedia: Pennsylvania 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-RI	Ballotpedia: Rhode Island 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-SC	Ballotpedia: South Carolina 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-SD	Ballotpedia: South Dakota 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-TN	Ballotpedia: Tennessee 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-TX	Ballotpedia: Texas 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-UT	Ballotpedia: Utah 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-VA	Ballotpedia: Virginia 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-VT	Ballotpedia: Vermont 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-WA	Ballotpedia: Washington 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-WI	Ballotpedia: Wisconsin 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-WV	Ballotpedia: West Virginia 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-H-WY	Ballotpedia: Wyoming 2026 House candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GP-TX	The Green Papers: 2026 Texas candidate identities	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GP-IN	The Green Papers: 2026 Indiana candidate identities	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GP-AZ	The Green Papers: 2026 Arizona candidate identities	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GP-CO	The Green Papers: 2026 Colorado candidate identities	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
FL-CANDIDATE	Florida Division of Elections: Brent Andersen qualified candidate record	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
LA-CANDIDATES-5	Louisiana Secretary of State: November 3 District 5 qualified candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
LA-CANDIDATES-6	Louisiana Secretary of State: November 3 District 6 qualified candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
LA-CANDIDATES-3	Louisiana Secretary of State: November 3 District 3 qualified candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
UVA-AG	UVA Center for Politics / Louis Jacobson: Jacobson attorney general assessment	2026-08-20	2026-10-20	Periodic contributor assessment, not a regular formal Crystal Ball model. Source date remains August 20.
UVA-SOS	UVA Center for Politics / Louis Jacobson: Jacobson secretary of state assessment	2026-09-09	2026-10-20	Periodic contributor assessment; not a new October 20 rating.
HORIZON	99chambers / Horizon: Statewide-office candidate and forecast comparison	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Use qualitative categories only. This package has not validated this publisher’s calibration; its numerical probabilities are not adopted. Two columns on that page are from the same publisher.
BP-AG	Ballotpedia: 2026 attorney general candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-SOS	Ballotpedia: 2026 secretary of state candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BP-LT	Ballotpedia: 2026 lieutenant governor candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
MD-AG-PRIMARY	Maryland State Board of Elections: Certified Republican attorney general nominee	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NCSL	National Conference of State Legislatures: State partisan composition	2026-10-06	2026-10-20	Numeric party majorities and governing coalitions are different concepts.
UVA-LEG	UVA Center for Politics / Louis Jacobson: Jacobson October legislative assessment	2026-10-16	2026-10-20	Periodic contributor assessment based on interviews. Its Likely category also flags possible minority-party gains or supermajority changes.
BP-LEG	Ballotpedia: 2026 legislative election scope	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
BOLTS	Bolts: 2026 down-ballot election guide	2026-10-01	2026-10-20	Issue-focused editorial outlet; used for contest importance and independently cross-checked identities, not as a neutral probability model.
BP-COURTS	Ballotpedia: State supreme court election scope	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
COURT-NC	Ballotpedia: North Carolina Supreme Court candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
COURT-OH	Ballotpedia: Ohio Supreme Court candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
COURT-MI	Ballotpedia: Michigan Supreme Court candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
COURT-MT	Ballotpedia: Montana Supreme Court candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
COURT-WA	Ballotpedia: Washington Supreme Court candidates	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NC-JPOLL	Decision Desk HQ: North Carolina Supreme Court polling	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NC-CF	Carolina Forward: October judicial polling direction	2026-10-13	2026-10-20	Advocacy sponsor; wording and exact individual-poll figures were not adopted as a neutral forecast.
NC-JGUIDE	North Carolina State Board of Elections: 2026 judicial voter guide	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
OH-JBALLOT	Ohio county board of elections: November 3 accessible official ballot	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
MI-JGUIDE	Michigan Public: All six Supreme Court candidates	2026-10-09	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
WA-JGUIDE	Northwest Progressive Institute: Five Supreme Court general-election matchups	2026-10-12	2026-10-20	Advocacy organization; used only to corroborate candidate identity and contest structure against Ballotpedia.
BP-MEASURES	Ballotpedia: Certified 2026 statewide measures	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
CA-MEASURES	California Secretary of State: 2026 propositions	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
MO-MEASURES	Missouri Secretary of State: Certified November 3 ballot titles	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
NV-MEASURES	Douglas County Clerk-Treasurer, Nevada: Questions 6 and 7, second passage	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
ID-MEASURES	Idaho Secretary of State: 2026 certified ballot questions	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
VA-MEASURES	Virginia Department of Elections: Question 1 reproductive freedom amendment	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
CO-MEASURES	Colorado Legislative Council: 2026 Blue Book	2026-09-10	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
AK-MEASURES	Alaska Division of Elections: 2026 official election pamphlet, Region I	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GA-FULTON	Fulton County, Georgia: 2026 general/runoff deadlines	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
GA-PUTNAM	Putnam County, Georgia: 2026 calendar and federal runoff registration	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
LA-JEFFERSON	Jefferson Parish Registrar of Voters: Current 2026 fall election table	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Louisiana special-category return times are not imported from this summary; the current state instructions control.
LA-POWER	Power Coalition for Equity & Justice: 2026 calendar cross-check	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	See the linked source and the relevant claim’s scope.
FEC-TALARICO	Federal Election Commission: James Talarico authorized-committee totals	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	OpenFEC candidate totals and individual authorized-committee totals reconciled. Financial coverage ends September 30; this is not current cash or Q3-only fundraising.
FEC-PAXTON	Federal Election Commission: Ken Paxton authorized-committee totals	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	OpenFEC candidate totals and individual authorized-committee totals reconciled. Financial coverage ends September 30; this is not current cash or Q3-only fundraising.
FEC-C00919084	Federal Election Commission: TALARICO FOR TEXAS committee totals	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Committee-level OpenFEC total used in aggregate reconciliation.
FEC-C00901918	Federal Election Commission: KEN PAXTON FOR SENATE committee totals	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Committee-level OpenFEC total used in aggregate reconciliation.
FEC-C00930446	Federal Election Commission: PAXTON FOR TX SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2026 committee totals	Not separately stated	2026-10-20	Committee-level OpenFEC total used in aggregate reconciliation.
PACHAND-FIN	Pachand: Texas Senate fundraising comparison	2026-10-20	2026-10-20	Cross-checks rounded receipts and cash. The page headline uses the latest filing date in its full field; individual FEC coverage dates control the two candidate rows here.