The 2026 election desk
2026 Senate polling
Seven original Senate surveys with fieldwork, samples, vote shares and methodological limits.
Seven Senate survey results were checked against an original release and separate reporting. These are seven individual surveys, not fourteen independent polls. Fieldwork dates show when respondents were interviewed; publication dates are separate. Other races’ polling enters the attributed forecasters’ work but is not presented here as an exhaustive raw-poll feed. FORBES · DDHQ-METHOD · POL
| Survey | Reported vote choice | Fieldwork | Release | Sample / uncertainty | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC · Elon | Roy Cooper 52% / Michael Whatley 39% | Sep 29–Oct 8 | Oct 20 | LV n=561; ±4.9 points (likely-voter credibility interval in a non-probability online sample) | ELON · FORBES · NC-TOPLINES |
| OH · Marist | Sherrod Brown 48% / Jon Husted 44% | Oct 15–Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Separate unweighted LV n not disclosed; ±4.5 points (likely-voter sample) | MARIST-OH · FORBES · OH-TABLES |
| TX · University of Houston | James Talarico 48% / Ken Paxton 46% | Oct 10–Oct 14 | Oct 19 | LV n=2000; ±2.19 points (pollster-reported overall sample margin) | UH · FORBES |
| IA · Marist | Josh Turek 48% / Ashley Hinson 45% | Oct 8–Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Separate unweighted LV n not disclosed; ±6.6 points (likely-voter sample) | MARIST-IA · FORBES · IA-TABLES |
| ME · Suffolk | Troy Jackson 49% / Susan Collins 47% | Oct 8–Oct 11 | Oct 14 | LV n=500; ±4.4 points (full likely-voter sample; subgroups have larger uncertainty) | SUFFOLK-ME · FORBES · ME-METHOD |
| MI · Fox / Beacon / Shaw | Abdul El-Sayed 50% / Mike Rogers 49% | Sep 24–Sep 28 | Sep 30 | LV n=1028; ±3.0 points (likely-voter sample) | FOX-MI · FORBES |
| MN · SurveyUSA / KSTP | Peggy Flanagan 45% / Michele Tafoya 42% | Oct 8–Oct 12 | Oct 13 | LV n=718; ±4.2 points (pollster credibility interval for the likely-voter question) | MN-PDF · FORBES |